Friday, May 8, 2020

Believe the Science! You must believe the science!


The code was wrong.

From Valor Guardians

It seems that the “experts” predicting massive die-offs using “Ferguson’s Model” and insisting that we all impinge our lives with lockdowns and social distancing were no experts. Instead they are a bunch of amateurs pretending to be programmers when they are not professional programmers, and every bit of code that they used was infested with bugs that not only throw off the results, but can’t repeat them. Their response to this error is to tell people to “take an average”, which is incorrect.  Their results were spectacular, grabbed news media’s attention and were wrapped around the world like a rope.
But the spectacular always gets attention, which keeps repeating itself until the curtain is dropped and the reality of just plain bad, error-filled work raises its head.
So the entire world gets put into pandemic panic and goes into shutdown when it wasn’t really necessary. And no one has asked why we don’t do the same things during flu season, when flu of any strain is just as deadly.  Yes, I did wonder about the extreme measures that have been taken to prevent the spread of this bug, which has not worked, and why it’s been given so much attention when the flu can be just as lethal, but – well, we all get flu shots, don’t we? And haven’t we forgotten the panicky reports over deadly swine flu a few years ago, which seems to have been forgotten? There was the Hanta bug a few years back, too, which was prevalent in the southwestern USA, and was finally traced to mice as carriers.
According to the author of this article, a professional programmer with several decades of experience at it, their efforts have resulted in both inaccuracy and a cavalier attitude toward their inconsistent results, which is a dangerous way to behave. When software is so poorly done that multiple inputs of the same information produce a wide variety of results, there is something wrong with the people who created the coding in the first place.
Here’s the link to the professional programmer’s article:
Read the whole thing. She doesn’t waste words anywhere.


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