I took a read at a sabermetrics site this morning and
had a reinforcement: Most baseball statistics I no longer understand; and, none
can measure what a player really is. Some things with which I am not familiar:
RAR, eRA, dRA, BABIP, BP/UZR/DRS fielding runs saved. And then I happened upon
a code explanation.
Park Factor (PF), Home Run Park
Factor (PFhr), Winning Percentage (W%), Expected W% (EW%), Predicted W% (PW%),
wins, losses, runs, runs allowed, Runs Created (RC), Runs Created Allowed
(RCA), Home Winning Percentage (HW%), Road Winning Percentage (RW%) [exactly
what they sound like--W% at home and on the road], Runs/Game (R/G), Runs
Allowed/Game (RA/G), Runs Created/Game (RCG), Runs Created Allowed/Game (RCAG),
and Runs Per Game (the average number of runs scored an allowed per game).
Still doesn’t explain most stuff, and I really don’t care.
Old school me: Batting average; wins/losses; ERA; fielding average; total
chances; stolen bases; RBI; home runs; runs scored; saves, and etc.
And here we go with what looks like “How to manipulate
numbers so they do whatever you want them to do”:
iPF = (H*T/(R*(T - 1) +
H) + 1)/2
where H = RPG in home games, R = RPG in road games, T = # teams in league (14 for AL and 16 for NL). Then the iPF is converted to the PF by taking x*iPF + (1-x), where x = .6 if one year of data is used, .7 for 2, .8 for 3, and .9 for 4+.
where H = RPG in home games, R = RPG in road games, T = # teams in league (14 for AL and 16 for NL). Then the iPF is converted to the PF by taking x*iPF + (1-x), where x = .6 if one year of data is used, .7 for 2, .8 for 3, and .9 for 4+.
Some of the new statistics people could come up with a
dozen measurable reasons why Babe Ruth was not a really good ball player.
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